Table of Contents

1.0 Introduction..................................................................................................................................................... 4

2.0 Definition of the CMO for the TSA for MP 9................................................................................... 4

3.0 Stand Level Analysis................................................................................................................................... 4

3.1 DR Establishment Management Strategies................................................................................ 4

3.2 WFP Timber Supply Analysis Stand-Level Inputs....................................................................... 5

3.3 TASS and Tipsy Stand-level Inputs for the Type 2 Project.................................................. 6

3.3.1 Alder Inputs................................................................................................................................................... 6

3.3.2 Conifer Inputs............................................................................................................................................... 7

3.4 TASS and Tipsy Stand-level Outputs for the Type 2 Project............................................ 11

3.4.1 Alder Outputs.............................................................................................................................................. 11

3.4.2 Conifer Outputs.......................................................................................................................................... 11

4.0 Log Grades and Values............................................................................................................................. 11

4.1 Applicable Coniferous Second Growth Log Grades for all Species........................... 11

4.1.2 Average Coastal Domestic Log Prices (1999-2000) for Selected Species..................................... 12

4.1.3 Coniferous Log Values Used in the TFL 6 Type 2 Stand Level Analysis......................................... 12

4.2 Applicable Alder Log Grades and Prices..................................................................................... 13

4.2.1 Alder Log Values Used in the TFL 6 Type 2 Stand Level Analysis................................................... 13

5.0 Silviculture Treatment Costs and Employment Assumptions.................................... 14

6.0 Harvesting and Milling Employment Assumptions.............................................................. 14

7.0 Stand Level Financial Analysis......................................................................................................... 14

7.1 Determination of Net Present Values........................................................................................... 14

7.1.1 NPV of a single rotation........................................................................................................................... 15

7.1.2 Site Value.................................................................................................................................................... 15

7.2 Harvesting Costs........................................................................................................................................ 16

7.2.1 Ground-based Harvesting Systems......................................................................................................... 16

7.2.2 Cable-based Harvesting Systems............................................................................................................ 17

7.2.3 Hauling........................................................................................................................................................ 17

7.2.4 Transportation........................................................................................................................................... 17

7.2.5 Dump, Boom, Sort and Scale................................................................................................................... 17

7.2.6 Road Construction.................................................................................................................................... 17

7.2.7 Routine Road Maintenance and Deactivation.................................................................................... 18

7.2.8 Administration............................................................................................................................................ 18

7.2.9 Basic Silviculture....................................................................................................................................... 18

7.3 Spreadsheet Formulas and Instructions for Use................................................................. 18

8.0 Results of Stand-level Analysis..................................................................................................... 19

8.1 Scenario #1 – Evaluation of CMO Stand-level Assumptions........................................... 19

8.2 Scenario #3 – Impacts of Juvenile Spacing................................................................................... 20

8.3 Scenario #4 – Pruning................................................................................................................................ 21

8.4 Scenario #5 – Cw vs Hemlock................................................................................................................ 22

8.5 Scenario #6 – Spruce vs Hemlock....................................................................................................... 23

8.6 Scenario #7 – Fir vs Hemlock................................................................................................................ 24

8.6 Scenario # 8 – Alder vs Hw..................................................................................................................... 25

8.7 Scenario #9 – Natural Regen vs Planting.................................................................................... 26

9.0 Opportunity Area Determination for Selected Reforestation Species Strategies 26

9.1 Scenario #6 – Spruce vs Hemlock....................................................................................................... 27

9.2 Scenario #7 – Fir vs Hemlock................................................................................................................ 27

9.3 Scenario # 8 – Alder vs Hw..................................................................................................................... 27

1.0 Introduction

This appendix documents the procedures, assumptions, data and model used in the TFL Type 2 Incremental Silviculture Strategy for TFL 6 (March, 2002).

2.0 Definition of the CMO for the TSA for MP 9

The current management option assumes the following (reproduced from MP 9):

1) Implementation of the Forest Practices Code and the Vancouver Island Land Use Plan including:

· removal of new parks

· 40 ha maximum opening size

· application of VQO’s to known scenic areas

· riparian management areas

· wildlife tree patch retention

· old seral stage target based on expected 10% high and 45% intermediate and low designations is used to defer old forest in each landscape unit

· retaining old (not grandparented) Deer Winter Ranges as modeling surrogates for OGMA’s and WHA’s

2) Minimum harvest size for good, medium and poor sites set to 42 cm, 37 cm and 35 cm quadratic mean stand diameter at breast height respectively

3) Harvesting to inventory and operability profile.

4) Gradual conversion of older alder leading stands to conifer leading stands through normal forest succession with no utilization of the alder component

5) Planting of most harvested sites.

6) Broadcast fertilization of cedar-salal sites to achieve crown closure and improve long-term productivity

7) Spacing of 300 ha per year of primarily hemlock-leading stands is assumed subject to the availability of suitable stands

8) Tree improvement gains were modeled to be up to 5% for stock planted currently and rising to 15% for western hemlock, Douglas fir and yellow cedar after the next decade.

9) Yield table priority then minimize growth loss

10) Compartment balancing

3.0 Stand Level Analysis

3.1 DR Establishment Management Strategies

Site characteristics:

Site Series vm1(MOF):	Lewis Units:	SI
09, 10 High, med. bench	S3 (alluv floodplain)	37
05, 07	(S1HA)	31 to 35
01 (3-4[moist]/C[nutr.])	S1HA, (S12HA)	26 to 29

And slopes<50%, soils>50cm deep, forest floor <15cm

Management Regimes:

Regime Names*	Intensive	Intermediate	Low
Treatments	For best sites (quality, access)		For moderate sites (quality) and less accessible
Site prep	Logging disturbance and (Chemical)?	Logging disturbance and (Chemical)?	Logging disturbance
Planting Density	1600	1600	1100
Brushing-times	0-1	0-1	0-1
PCT	To 800-900 @ 10-11yrs	To 600-800 @ 10-11yrs	None
CT	To 250-300 @ 15-20yrs	None	None
Harvest Time	@35 to 40yrs	@35 to 40yrs	@40 to 60yrs
Harvest Outturn	80% HG, 10% SL	60% HG, 20% SL	50% HG, 30% SL

*Based on Weyerhaeuser’s strategies in Washington State

3.2 WFP Timber Supply Analysis Stand-Level Inputs

For this information, refer to the Timber Supply Analysis Information Package in Preparation of Management Plan 9 for Tree Farm License 6 produced by WFP.

3.3 TASS and Tipsy Stand-level Inputs for the Type 2 Project

3.3.1 Alder Inputs

Run	Total # Planted	Sp Planted	Sp Site Index	PCT Density	PCT Age	Com Thin Density	Com Thin Age
1	1600	Dr	37
2	1600	Dr	37	850	10
3	1600	Dr	37	850	10	275	15
4	1600	Dr	33
5	1600	Dr	33	850	10
6	1600	Dr	33	850	10	275	15
7	1600	Dr	28
8	1600	Dr	28	850	10
9	1600	Dr	28	850	10	275	15
10	1600	Dr	37	700	10
11	1600	Dr	33	700	10
12	1600	Dr	28	700	10
13	1100	Dr	37
14	1100	Dr	33
15	1100	Dr	28

3.3.2 Conifer Inputs

Summary of Tass/Tipsy* Inputs for Existing and Future Coniferous Stands - Type 2 Analysis
Run	Sp1 Planted %	Sp1 Site Index **	Sp2 Planted %	Sp2 Site Index	Total # Planted	Planted Genetic Worth	Sp Natural	Total Natural Infill	PCT	PCT Density	Fert
1					0		Hw	2000
2					0		Hw	2000	yes	600
3					0		Hw	2000	yes	850
4					0		Hw	2000	yes	1000
5					0		Hw	4000
6					0		Hw	4000	yes	600
7					0		Hw	4000	yes	850
8					0		Hw	4000	yes	1000
9					0		Hw	6000
10					0		Hw	6000	yes	600
11					0		Hw	6000	yes	850
12					0		Hw	6000	yes	1000
13					0		Hw	8000
14					0		Hw	8000	yes	600
15					0		Hw	8000	yes	850
16					0		Hw	8000	yes	1000
17					0		Hw	10000
18					0		Hw	10000	yes	600
19					0		Hw	10000	yes	850
20					0		Hw	10000	yes	1000
21	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	2000
22	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	2000	yes	600
23	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	2000	yes	850
24	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	2000	yes	1000
25	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	4000
26	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	4000	yes	600
27	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	4000	yes	850
28	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	4000	yes	1000
29	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	6000
30	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	6000	yes	600
31	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	6000	yes	850
32	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	6000	yes	1000
33	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	8000
34	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	8000	yes	600
35	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	8000	yes	850
36	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	8000	yes	1000
37	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	10000
38	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	10000	yes	600
39	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	10000	yes	850
40	Hw 100	28			1100	low	Hw	10000	yes	1000
41	Hw 100	28			1100	high	Hw	2000
42	Hw 100	28			1100	high	Hw	2000	yes	600
43	Hw 100	28			1100	high	Hw	2000	yes	850
44	Hw 100	28			1100	high

Prepared for

Prepared by